Author: Bob Weeks

  • What Happens When so Much National Security Expertise Is Tossed Aside?

    One-Sentence Summary: President Trump’s sweeping purge of FBI and Justice Department officials with extensive national security experience has raised concerns that the U.S. is losing critical expertise in counterterrorism and counterintelligence at a time of heightened foreign threats.

    Article Summary:
    President Donald Trump’s overhaul of the Justice Department and FBI has resulted in the dismissal or reassignment of numerous officials with extensive experience in counterterrorism and counterintelligence. In a speech at the DOJ, Trump criticized former officials as “corrupt” and vowed to remove those he believed had acted against him, but he did not acknowledge the loss of national security expertise caused by these removals.

    The ongoing restructuring effort has been described as a “housecleaning” of individuals involved in prior investigations of Trump. Among those removed are high-ranking officials from the FBI’s national security, counterintelligence, and cyber divisions, as well as leaders of major field offices. This has led to concerns that key national security cases may be affected due to a lack of experienced personnel.

    New FBI Director Kash Patel has defended the restructuring, insisting that the core threats to national security remain unchanged and that new appointments will address these challenges. However, former officials and experts warn that the loss of expertise could lead to mistakes in handling complex intelligence operations, including the issuance of surveillance warrants and counterespionage efforts.

    The reorganization has also created morale concerns within the FBI, as agents may now hesitate to take on politically sensitive investigations, fearing repercussions. Additionally, the plan to decentralize FBI operations by creating three regional hubs could weaken Washington’s ability to oversee national security matters effectively.

    Further complicating matters, Patel has ordered the reassignment of 1,500 headquarters staff to field offices, which may reduce the agency’s capacity to conduct counterintelligence work. Meanwhile, as Trump seeks to reset relations with Russia, experts warn that the FBI may struggle to monitor an expected increase in Russian intelligence activities in the U.S.

    While Trump’s administration has prioritized issues such as immigration and drug enforcement, critics argue that it has not placed enough emphasis on traditional national security threats like terrorism and foreign espionage. Experts caution that history will not be kind if these changes lead to a decline in the nation’s ability to defend against external threats.

    Ignatius, David. “What Happens When so Much National Security Expertise Is Tossed Aside?” The Washington Post, 15 Mar. 2025, www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/14/trump-purge-fbi-justice-terrorism-patel.

    Key Takeaways:

    • President Trump’s purge of FBI and DOJ officials has removed many experienced national security professionals.
    • Experts warn that the loss of expertise could weaken counterterrorism and counterintelligence efforts.
    • New FBI Director Kash Patel claims national security priorities remain unchanged but has overseen major restructuring.
    • Political concerns may discourage FBI agents from pursuing sensitive investigations.
    • Reassignments of personnel and decentralization may hinder intelligence and counterterrorism efforts.
    • Changes in U.S.-Russia relations could increase counterintelligence challenges for the FBI.

    Most Important Quotations:

    • “By kneecapping that entire level of management and expertise, I have real, profound worry that [it] is going to translate into public safety and national security impacts.” – Lisa Monaco
    • “We will expel the rogue actors and corrupt forces.” – Donald Trump
    • “The top areas, when it comes to national security … have remained unchanged, and the threat dynamic has increased.” – Kash Patel
    • “We will not bend. We will not falter. We will not sacrifice what is right for anyone or anything.” – James Dennehy

    Word Count of Summary: 455
    Word Count of Supplied Input: 1,506

    Model Version Used: GPT-4-turbo
    Custom GPT Name: Summarizer 2

  • How Republicans Learned to Love High Prices

    How Republicans Learned to Love High Prices

    One-sentence summary: The Republican Party, once a strong advocate of free trade, has embraced protectionist policies like tariffs, ignoring the economic benefits of affordable imports that enhance American prosperity.

    The article argues that international trade has significantly benefited American consumers by lowering the costs of essential goods such as clothing, food, energy, and electronics. Cheaper imports have increased Americans’ purchasing power, making their wages more meaningful despite inflation in other sectors like housing and healthcare. This economic advantage has traditionally been defended by Republicans, who recognized that access to global markets improved not only consumer welfare but also domestic manufacturing by providing affordable raw materials and competitive incentives.

    However, the Republican Party has increasingly adopted protectionist policies, particularly under Donald Trump, implementing tariffs that drive up prices for both consumers and manufacturers. The article highlights how tariffs on goods such as steel and aluminum have increased costs for domestic industries, contradicting the argument that such measures protect American jobs. Even if domestic producers do not rely on imports, the presence of international competition helps keep prices in check.

    Furthermore, the article emphasizes that affordable imports have contributed to a better quality of life, especially for low-income Americans who spend a larger share of their income on necessities. Trade openness has also been linked to increased leisure time, allowing workers to invest in personal development and family life. Despite these benefits, Republicans have shifted their stance, mirroring past Democratic arguments that prioritize domestic production over consumer affordability. The piece concludes by noting that only a few Republican figures, such as Mike Pence, still defend free trade, while the broader party pursues protectionist policies that ultimately harm American economic interests.

    Scott Lincicome. “How Republicans Learned to Love High Prices.” Cato Institute, 18 Mar. 2025, www.cato.org/commentary/how-republicans-learned-love-high-prices.

    Key Takeaways:
    – International trade has made essential goods cheaper, increasing Americans’ purchasing power.
    – Trade-driven affordability has helped counteract inflation in non-tradable sectors like healthcare and housing.
    – Tariffs on imports, such as steel, raise costs for domestic manufacturers rather than protect them.
    – Lower-income Americans benefit the most from affordable imports, as they spend a larger portion of their income on necessities.
    – Republicans, who once championed free trade, have largely shifted to protectionist policies, contradicting their previous stance.

    Important Quotations:
    – “Bigger numbers on your paycheck mean nothing if you’re forced to spend even more on the things you need and want.”
    – “Imports increase domestic-manufacturing output and jobs.”
    – “Access to cheap goods isn’t the American dream, but it sure helps us achieve it.”
    – “Trump’s recent steel-tariff announcement gave U.S. steelmakers a ‘green light to lift prices,’ as The Wall Street Journal put it.”

    Word Count of Summary: 369
    Word Count of Supplied Input: 936

    Model Version: GPT-4-turbo
    Custom GPT Name: Summarizer 2

  • The New Deep State

    One-Sentence Summary: The Trump administration is reshaping the Republican foreign policy establishment by prioritizing nationalist loyalists over experienced Reaganite conservatives, signaling a shift toward a more isolationist and ideological approach to global affairs.

    Summary:
    Donald Trump’s return to the presidency is reshaping the Republican foreign policy establishment, sidelining traditional Reaganite conservatives who favor active American leadership in favor of nationalist, isolationist figures aligned with Tucker Carlson’s worldview. Qualified national security professionals, including those who served in previous Republican administrations, are being denied positions for ideological reasons rather than competency. Instead, appointments are being given to individuals with minimal experience but strong loyalty to Trump and his foreign policy of retrenchment.

    One example is Darren Beattie, a controversial figure with a history of inflammatory remarks, who was appointed acting undersecretary for public diplomacy. His appointment exemplifies how loyalty to Trump’s nationalist vision, rather than experience or mainstream conservative principles, is now the primary qualification for government roles. Katherine Thompson, another appointee, lacks the extensive background of her predecessors but has demonstrated unwavering support for Trump’s policies.

    This shift is orchestrated by Sergio Gor, head of the White House Presidential Personnel Office, and a network of young political operatives who conduct informal ideological vetting, ensuring only committed loyalists enter key foreign policy positions. This vetting process often excludes competent figures from Trump’s first term, such as those involved in major foreign policy successes like the Abraham Accords and the confrontation with China.

    Critics worry that this ideological purity test will result in an administration lacking the expertise needed for effective diplomacy, potentially undermining Trump’s ability to secure major foreign policy victories. Some see this shift as a reflection of Trump’s genuine preference for an America-first, isolationist stance, while others fear it will weaken U.S. global leadership and limit opportunities for diplomatic achievements.

    Michael Warren. “The New Deep State.” The Dispatch, 18 Mar. 2025, thedispatch.com/article/trump-deep-state-foreign-policy-personnel.

    Key Takeaways:

    • Trump’s second administration is reshaping the Republican foreign policy establishment, removing Reaganite conservatives in favor of nationalist loyalists.
    • Many experienced professionals have been denied positions for ideological reasons rather than lack of competency.
    • A network of young operatives conducts informal vetting, ensuring only Trump-aligned nationalists are hired.
    • High-profile appointments, such as Darren Beattie and Katherine Thompson, reflect a prioritization of loyalty over experience.
    • Critics argue this ideological shift could weaken U.S. global leadership and limit foreign policy successes.

    Important Quotations:

    • “Competent white men must be in charge if you want things to work.” – Darren Beattie
    • “Why is Putin my enemy? He’s never done anything to me.” – Tucker Carlson
    • “Instead they’re keeping out highly competent Reaganites aligned with Trump 45 and they’re bringing in people who are worse than Obama leftists.” – Former Republican staffer

    Word Count:
    – Summary: 394 words
    – Original Article: 1,665 words

    Model Version: GPT-4-turbo
    Custom GPT: Summarizer 2

  • Ignoring Scarcity at Our Own Peril

    One-sentence summary: Kevin D. Williamson critiques Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson’s book Abundance for its utopian premise that scarcity is a choice, arguing that the authors ignore fundamental economic realities and advocate for an impractical, centralized planning approach.

    Williamson argues that Klein and Thompson’s book, Abundance, is based on the flawed assumption that scarcity is a matter of political will rather than an economic fact. He contends that the authors fail to engage with the economic definition of scarcity, which acknowledges limited resources and competing demands. Instead, they promote a vision of government intervention and centralized planning to eliminate scarcity, disregarding historical failures of such approaches.

    The review highlights the book’s reliance on speculative technological advancements, such as nuclear fusion and green hydrogen, without addressing real-world constraints on scaling these innovations. Williamson criticizes the authors’ lack of engagement with public-choice theory, which explains the inefficiencies of government action, and their dismissive attitude toward economic constraints. He also points out factual inaccuracies in their analysis, such as misleading inflation adjustments when discussing college tuition increases.

    Williamson particularly takes issue with the book’s approach to regulatory and legal obstacles, suggesting that the authors view democracy, legal challenges, and property rights as barriers to progress rather than essential checks on power. He argues that their desire for a streamlined approval process for projects like California’s high-speed rail ignores the risks of government overreach and inefficiency.

    Furthermore, Williamson critiques Klein and Thompson’s assertion that markets cannot distinguish between “good” and “bad” sources of wealth, arguing that this assumption leads to heavy-handed government intervention that often exacerbates scarcity rather than alleviating it. He contends that a more pragmatic and modest approach to regulation, rather than sweeping utopian visions, is necessary for sustainable economic progress.

    Ultimately, Williamson concludes that Abundance serves more as a rhetorical blueprint for progressive policy rather than a practical economic plan. He warns against the dangers of ideological thinking that dismisses scarcity as an illusion, advocating instead for policies that acknowledge economic limitations and the unintended consequences of government intervention.

    Kevin D. Williamson. “Ignoring Scarcity at Our Own Peril.” The Dispatch, 17 Mar. 2025, https://thedispatch.com/article/ezra-klein-derek-thompson-book-liberalism-utopia/.

    Key takeaways:

    • Williamson critiques Abundance for dismissing economic scarcity as a real constraint and treating it as a political choice.
    • He argues that the authors ignore historical failures of central planning and do not engage with public-choice theory.
    • The book relies on speculative technological breakthroughs without addressing practical constraints.
    • The authors’ approach to regulation and government intervention risks undermining democracy and property rights.
    • Williamson calls for more pragmatic and humble economic thinking instead of utopian visions.

    Important quotations:

    • “Scarcity, as understood in economics, is not a choice but a fact.”
    • “Never mind that government planners and would-be managers of the national economy have been flipping those switches like cocaine monkeys in a federal lab for going on a century now.”
    • “The problem is that if you subsidize demand for something that is scarce, you’ll raise prices or force rationing.”
    • “We need less utopian thinking, not more. We need more modest thinking, more specific thinking, more humble thinking.”

    Word count of summary: 504
    Word count of original article: ~2,700

    Model version: GPT-4
    Custom GPT name: Summarizer 2

  • Opinion | Chuck Schumer Isn’t Jewish Like the Pope Isn’t Catholic

    Opinion | Chuck Schumer Isn’t Jewish Like the Pope Isn’t Catholic

    One-Sentence Summary: In his column, Bret Stephens discusses Chuck Schumer’s recent book on antisemitism, his political stance on Israel, and the pressures he faces from both the left and right, particularly in light of Donald Trump’s recent attack on his Jewish identity.

    Bret Stephens writes about Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s new book, Antisemitism in America: A Warning, and his broader political role in defending Jewish identity and Israel. The article opens with Trump’s recent accusation that Schumer is “not Jewish anymore” and a “Palestinian,” comments that Schumer dismissed as part of a long history of outsiders defining Jewish identity.

    Schumer’s book highlights antisemitism from both the right and left, pointing out its manifestations in campus protests and within progressive politics, including past comments from Representative Ilhan Omar. He remains concerned that the Democratic Party might shift towards an anti-Israel stance, but insists that most of his caucus supports Israel. However, he warns that losing liberal support for Israel could be dangerous long-term and criticizes Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu for only engaging with conservative American media.

    On the right, Schumer sees antisemitic dog whistles in terms like “globalists” and “neocons” and calls out Trump’s administration for harboring figures with antisemitic tendencies. He worries about a historical pattern where the far right and far left converge in their hostility toward Jews, citing past examples from France and Germany. While not pessimistic, Schumer remains “nervous” about the future, recognizing that antisemitism is always present beneath the surface.

    Stephens concludes by defending Schumer against those who criticize his politics, arguing that he has shown courage by standing up for Jewish people regardless of partisan lines. He contrasts Schumer’s willingness to confront antisemitism with the reluctance of Republican leaders to challenge Trump’s rhetoric.

    Stephens, Bret. “Opinion | Chuck Schumer Isn’t Jewish Like the Pope Isn’t Catholic.” The New York Times, 18 Mar. 2025, www.nytimes.com/2025/03/18/opinion/schumer-trump-antisemitism.html.

    Key Takeaways:

    • Trump attacked Schumer’s Jewish identity, calling him “not Jewish anymore” and “a Palestinian.”
    • Schumer’s book addresses both left- and right-wing antisemitism, criticizing campus protests, progressive politicians, and far-right dog whistles.
    • He insists the Democratic Party remains pro-Israel but warns about losing liberal support.
    • Schumer criticizes Netanyahu for engaging primarily with conservative media.
    • He sees a historical pattern where extreme political ideologies converge in antisemitism.
    • Stephens argues Schumer has shown political courage in standing up for Jewish people despite criticism.

    Important Quotations:

    • “There’s a long and dark history of non-Jewish people trying to decide who gets to be Jewish.”
    • “The greatest danger to Israel, long-term, is if you lose half of America.”
    • “Antisemitism is a light sleeper.”
    • “A Jew stands up for his people regardless of the cost, and regardless of the politics of it.”

    Word Count of Summary: 357
    Word Count of Original Article: 1,155

    Model Version Used: GPT-4
    Custom GPT Name: Summarizer 2
    Date and Time of Summary Generation: March 19, 2025, 4:02 PM CT

  • Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) Spending by State

    Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) Spending by State

    Participation and spending on WIC by state political sentiment.

    The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) is a federal assistance initiative that provides nutritious foods, education, and support to low-income pregnant and postpartum women, infants, and children up to age five. Funding for WIC is primarily allocated by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food and Nutrition Service (USDA-FNS) to state agencies, which then administer the program at the local level.

    Data on the program is available at WIC Data Tables.

    I’ve plotted data by state, using the political sentiment of the state as a dependent variable. This is measured by the portion of the vote Donald J. Trump received in 2024. Both spending and participation vary little based on a state’s vote for Trump. (Click for larger charts)

  • Cost of Voting and State Politics

    Cost of Voting and State Politics

    Examining the relationship between state voting laws and political sentiment.

    The Cost of Voting Index is an ongoing analysis by Michael J. Pomante II, Ph.D., a political scientist. It “examines election laws and policies and calculates a single measure of the relative difficulty of voting for each state. States with smaller values make voting more accessible than states with larger values.” Data and accompanying peer-reviewed papers are available on the Cost of Voting Index website.

    Briefly, “The COVI measures the time and effort required to vote, encompassing criteria such as registration requirements, voter identification laws, early voting availability, and absentee voting procedures.” (1)Pomante II, Michael J. (2024). “The Cost of Voting in the American States: 2024.” Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy. DOI: 10.1089/elj.2024.0037. Available from https://costofvotingindex.com/publications I’ve taken the data for 2024 and plotted it against the percent of Donald Trump voting in the states. Chart 1 shows this. (click for larger charts)

    I asked ChatGPT to perform a regression analysis and explain. The summary was: “This analysis examines how the difficulty of voting (measured by the “Cost of Voting Index”) varies with a state’s political leanings and population. The results suggest that states with a higher percentage of Trump voters in 2024 tend to have stricter voting laws (higher cost of voting). However, state population size does not seem to have a meaningful impact on voting difficulty.” In more detail:

    We performed a multiple linear regression to examine the relationship between:

    • Independent variables:
      • Share of Trump Vote in 2024 (X1)
      • State Population (X2)
    • Dependent variable:
      • Cost of Voting Index (Y)

    Key Findings from the Regression:
    R-squared (0.425): This indicates that approximately 42.5% of the variation in the Cost of Voting Index can be explained by the Share of Trump Vote and State Population.
    Share of Trump Vote (Coefficient = 8.5481, p-value < 0.001): A statistically significant predictor of the Cost of Voting Index, suggesting that as the share of Trump votes increases, the Cost of Voting Index also tends to increase.
    State Population (Coefficient = 0.8143, p-value = 0.751): This variable is not statistically significant, meaning there is no strong evidence that population size affects the Cost of Voting Index.

    I also examined voter turnout rate as a function of the Cost of Voting Index. Chart 2 illustrates this:

    As before, I asked ChatGPT for a regression analysis: “Think of this as trying to understand what factors influence how many people show up to vote in each state. We looked at whether making voting harder (higher Cost of Voting Index) or having a larger population affects turnout. The results suggest that voter turnout may slightly drop when voting is harder, but the effect is weak. However, the population of a state does not seem to play a major role in voter turnout. The model itself doesn’t explain much of the variation, meaning there are likely other factors (like political engagement, campaign efforts, or demographics) that influence voter turnout more strongly.” In more detail:

    We performed a multiple linear regression analysis to determine the relationship between Voter Turnout (dependent variable) and two independent variables:

    1. Cost of Voting Index (measuring how easy or difficult it is to vote in a state)
    2. State Population (the number of residents in the state)

    Key Findings:
    – The R-squared value is 0.068, meaning that only 6.8% of the variation in voter turnout is explained by the Cost of Voting Index and State Population.
    – The Cost of Voting Index has a coefficient of -0.0123, suggesting that as voting becomes harder (higher cost index), voter turnout decreases slightly.
    – The State Population has a coefficient of -6.35e-10, indicating that population size has a negligible impact on voter turnout.
    – The P-value for Cost of Voting Index is 0.077, which means it’s not statistically significant at the typical 0.05 threshold but is close. This suggests a possible weak relationship between the difficulty of voting and turnout.
    – The P-value for State Population is 0.591, meaning there is no significant relationship between state population and voter turnout.

    References

    References
    1Pomante II, Michael J. (2024). “The Cost of Voting in the American States: 2024.” Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy. DOI: 10.1089/elj.2024.0037. Available from https://costofvotingindex.com/publications
  • Kansas Employment Situation, December 2024

    Kansas Employment Situation, December 2024

    In Kansas in December 2024, the labor force rose, the number of jobs was rose, and the unemployment rate rose compared to the previous month, all by modest amounts. Over the year, Kansas is near the midpoint of states in job growth. (more…)